fbNd100 Forecast | The deterioration of the US-China relations may trigger a correction of the US stock market | IFCM UAE

Technical Analysis Nd100 : 2020-07-27

Recommendation for Nasdaq Index:

Sell
Strong SellSellNeutralBuyStrong Buy

Below 10300

Sell Stop

Above 11100

Stop Loss

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IndicatorValueSignal
RSI Sell
MACD Sell
MA(200) Neutral
Fractals Neutral
Parabolic SAR Sell
Bollinger Bands Neutral

Chart Analysis

IFC Markets Tech Analysis

On the daily timeframe, Nd100: D1 broken down the uptrend support line and is trying to correct downwards. A number of technical analysis indicators formed signals for a further decline. We do not rule out a bearish movement if Nd100 falls below its last minimum: 10300. This level can be used as an entry point. We can set a stop loss above the historical maximum, the last upper fractal and the Parabolic signal: 11100. After opening a pending order, we should move the stop loss following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals to the next fractal minimum. Thus, we change the potential profit/loss ratio in our favor. After the transaction the most risk-averse traders can switch to the four-hour chart and set a stop-loss, moving it in the direction of the trend. If the price meets the stop loss level (11100) without activating the order (10300), it is recommended to delete the order: some internal changes in the market were not taken into account.

Fundamental Analysis

The deterioration of US-China relations, the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic and relatively weak quarterly earnings reports may trigger a correction in the US stock market. Will Nd100 index quotations drop?

Amid various disagreements over the terms of mutual trade and the situation in Hong Kong, the United States demanded the closure of the Chinese diplomatic consulate in Houston. In response, the Chinese authorities demanded the closure of the American consulate in Chengdu. US Secretary of State Michael Pompeo said that "the old paradigm of blind engagement with China has failed." The number of coronavirus cases in the US continues to grow and has already exceeded 4 million. In the last 10 days, about 70,000 people have contracted the disease each day. Recent week-long data show that, against this background, unemployment in the US began to rise, for the first time since April. US President Donald Trump said that the situation with Covid-19 in the country could worsen again. Refinitiv notes that 113 companies from the S&P 500 list released quarterly reports. Of these, 80.5% exceeded their profit forecasts. However, the agency not so long ago expected the total profits of all S&P 500 companies to decline by more than 40%.

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