#C-ORANGE Price Forecast | Crop estimate downgrade bullish for orange price | IFCM UAE

Technical Analysis #C-ORANGE : 2020-06-30

Recommendation for Orange Juice:

Strong SellSellNeutralBuyStrong Buy

Above 126.6

Buy Stop

Below 116.96

Stop Loss

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Senior Analytical Expert
Articles 1554
RSI Neutral
Donchian Channel Buy
MA(200) Buy
Fractals Buy
Parabolic SAR Sell

Chart Analysis

IFC Markets Tech Analysis

On the daily timeframe the ORANGE: D1 is rising above the 200-day moving average MA(200) which is rising itself. We believe the bullish momentum will continue after the price breaches above the upper Donchian boundary at 126.60. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to buy. The stop loss can be placed below 116.96. After placing the pending order the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal low, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop-loss level (116.96) without reaching the order (126.60) we recommend cancelling the order: the market sustains internal changes which were not taken into account.

Fundamental Analysis

USDA forecast downgraded Florida orange crop for 2019-2020 season. Will the orange prices continue rising?

Orange juice is rebounding following a retreat after hitting a 19-month high three weeks ago. Demand for orange juice remains strong with consumers viewing its nutrients and high vitamin C content as a means to boost human immune system. And recent Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service ( NASS ) May crop forecast projects a decrease in oranges and grapefruit production. The USDA predicted Florida Orange production at 67.7 million boxes, down 3 percent from the May forecast. Lower supply estimates are bullish for orange price.

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