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Technical Analysis USDCAD : 2020-07-22

Recommendation for USD/CAD:

Sell
Strong SellSellNeutralBuyStrong Buy

Below 1,341

Sell Stop

Above 1,371

Stop Loss

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Senior Analytical Expert
Articles 1647
IndicatorValueSignal
RSI Neutral
MACD Neutral
MA(200) Neutral
Fractals Sell
Parabolic SAR Sell
Bollinger Bands Sell

Chart Analysis

IFC Markets Tech Analysis

On the daily timeframe, USDCAD: D1 broke down the neutral trend support line. A number of technical analysis indicators formed signals for a further decline. We do not rule out a bearish movevent if USDCAD falls below its latest minimum: 1.341. This level can be used as an entry point. The stop loss can be plased above the last two upper fractals, the upper Bollinger band, 200-day moving average and the Parabolic signal: 1.371. After opening a pending order, we move the stop loss to the next fractal low following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals. Thus, we change the potential profit/loss ratio in our favor. After the transaction, the most risk-averse traders can switch to a four-hour chart and set a stop-loss, moving it in the direction of the trend. If the price meets the stop loss level (1.371) without activating the order (1.341), it is recommended to delete the order: some internal changes in the market were not taken into account.

Fundamental Analysis

Canadian retail sales rose in May. Will the Canadian dollar continue to strengthen?

On the USDCAD chart, it looks like a downward movement. Retail sales in May increased by 18.7% compared to April, when this indicator shrank by 25%. The increase was facilitated by the lifting of some quarantine measures after the weakening of Covid-19. The New Housing Price Index continued to rise in June. It added 1.3% in annual terms, which may be evidence of the recovery of the Canadian real estate market. Important inflation data for June will be released on July 22. Inflation is expected to move up in annual terms by 0.3% compared to deflation (-0.4%) in May. This could be another proof of the recovery in the Canadian economy and have a positive effect on the Canadian dollar. The emerging appreciation of oil, Canada’s main export base, may be an additional good factor.

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